The Nomination of the first Latino Supreme Court Nominee, Judge Sonya Sotomayor, looks like it might have put the final nail in the coffin of Latino support for Permanent Republican Majority.
The GOP should be terrified of these numbers, but they're too wrapped up on their bubble of hate that they can't see the forest through the trees of voting trends that have taken root and will last for generations to come.
In other words... Goodbye GOP, hello Whigs!
The party leadership, Newt Gingrich and Rush Limbaugh, both accused Sotomayor of being racist (a claim bought by only 8 percent of Americans, including just 19 percent of Republicans). Others, led by Limbaugh and RNC Chair Michael Steele, launched a campaign against "empathy" which is serving to put it even further outside of the mainstream (see here, here, here, and here).Plumline's Greg Sargent, also looks at the trends in, Sotomayor Fight Eroding What’s Left Of Latino Support For GOP?
But perhaps the biggest misfire is what some smarter GOP strategists feared -- the further alienation of Latino voters. C heck out the numbers from the R2K/dKos Weekly State of the Nation Poll:
Favorability of Republican Party among Latinos
May 18-21 (before the Sotomayor nomination)
No Opinion 10
June 15-18 (latest poll)
Favorable 8Yeah, the initial numbers were woefully bad for Republicans, but they somehow managed to alienate those few Latinos who didn't hate the GOP so much -- a drop of 10 points in net favorability, including losing almost half of the meager few Latinos who were undecided about the GOP. On the same question, African Americans are at 3/94, meaning that Republicans are doing a great job of turning Latinos into as solid a Democratic constituency as our party's most loyal voting bloc.
No Opinion 6
The latest numbers from the nonpartisan Research 2000 for Daily Kos find that only eight percent of Latinos view the party favorably, while an astonishing 86 percent view it unfavorably.
One of the big stories today is that Republicans are realizing that there’s no political percentage in fighting the Sotomayor nomination. It’s striking that Latino opinion about the GOP is dropping so fast, even at a moment when GOP opposition to Sotomayor appears to be flagging, as opposed to intensifying.
This continuing drop among Latinos, coming at a time when many party strategists recognize the party’s desperate need to broaden its appeal, only reminds us that not only are there few apparent upsides in opposing Sotomayor, there are potentially serious costs, too.