6.08.2008

Obama Blows McSame Away in Battle for Latino Voters

Yesterday, I blogged on TPM about the new Rasmussen poll that showed Obama doesn't have a 'unity' problem within our party.

Simply, put, if Obama is at 80% before HRC's concession/endorsement speech, than he's doing just fine when it comes to unity. We're doing just fine with unity.

I'm not taking it for granted either; I'm just pointing out the facts to people who are worried about things that don't actually exists (at least not in the land of facts & figures which seem so diametrically opposed to our media's self-induced dramas).

Like, for instance, Obama's "Latino problem", which is also non-existence. He blows McSame away with the Latino voters. From the LA Times:

A new Gallup Poll summary of surveys taken in May shows Obama winning 62% of Latino registered voters nationwide, compared with just 29% for McCain. Others have found a wide gap as well. The pro-Democratic group Democracy Corps compiled surveys from March through May that showed Obama with a 19-point lead among Latinos. And a Times poll published last month showed Obama leading McCain among California Latinos by 14 points.

Republicans say McCain's numbers among Latinos at the moment are disappointing -- far below the goals set by a campaign that has long believed McCain could challenge the traditional Democratic dominance of the Latino electorate.

The numbers suggest that McCain's image has suffered after a competitive GOP primary in which he renounced some of the moderate views on immigration popular among many Latinos. For example, McCain, who was a chief sponsor of legislation creating a path to citizenship for most of the nation's estimated 12 million illegal immigrants, now says he believes the government must focus first on securing the U.S.-Mexico border before dealing with illegal workers.
Problems once promoted by the media (& HRC) as "huge" issues for Obama, aren't as problematic as they had us all believe.

Now that voters a have clear choice from both parties, cooler heads are prevailing and voters are looking our for their best interests and not holding any "perceived" grudges.

And again, this is from before HRC's concession/endorsement speech (which I'd like to say for the record was very impressive).

I suspect we'll be seeing more of the same when it comes to polls of white "working class" voters, women voters and whatever other voters we were force-fed to believe Obama has a problem with.

If I remember corrected, Obama is just 8% behind McSame in West Virginia. EIGHT points?! Oh yes, here it is:
John McCain begins the general election season with an eight-point advantage over Barack Obama in West Virginia. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of this general election match-up shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 37%.

Neither man is terribly popular in the state. McCain earns favorable reviews from 48% and unfavorable ratings from another 48%. The numbers for Obama are 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable. Those figures include 26% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of McCain and 35% with such a negative view of Obama.
Does Obama have work here? Yes. But an 8 point difference? He lost by 41 points to HRC.

The overall point is that Primary & General Election polling, voters blocks, etc., can not be compared. Apples & Oranges.

digg it

Cross posted at TPM

UPDATE:

I just found this interesting breakdown from June 3rd:
The Democratic Party maintained its huge edge in party identification during the month of May. Barack Obama’s Party now has the largest partisan advantage over the Republicans since Rasmussen Reports began tracking this data on a monthly basis nearly six years ago (see history from January 2004 to present).

During the month of April, 41.7% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats. Just 31.6% said they were Republicans and 26.6% were not affiliated with either major party. This is the third straight month Obama’s team has enjoyed a double-digit edge.
Sounds like landslide numbers to me in the climate.

0 comments:

Post a Comment